Artelys Forecast

Artelys Crystal Forecast is dedicated to the forecasting and the management of uncertainty. It decreases the risks taken when making important decisions. Artelys Crystal Forecast offers a wide range of models* and tools for statistical forecasting and generating scenarios. The platform utilizes the most advanced statistical techniques and provides all the features of calculation (prediction, calibration, and analysis), settings, and visualization ensuring models that are adapted to the specifics of each issue. These effective models represent reliable key factors (demand, prices, inventories, sales ...) that are valuable to the customer’s project. This allows the users to establish a statistical forecast while choosing different scenarios to meet their needs.

A modeling of a very-likely reality

For risk control, Artelys Crystal Forecast adjusts the model* for each key factor and scenario within the same system of forecasting / simulation. The created data are consistent and accurate. The global relevance of the system gives a representation of a future reality that is very likely, decreasing the risk involved in the decision making.

A variable environment

Artelys Crystal Forecast platform is designed for users to upgrade their forecasting process based on their needs and the needs of their clients. These upgrades can be done via the configuration, scripting*, and options features.

Key features

Artelys Crystal Forecast permet de manière transparente...

• Calibrate and operate advanced models for forecasting and simulation of specific factors like:

• Price
• Climatic data (temperature, wind, etc.)
• Functional data (consumption, production, application, etc.)
• And even more ...

Define a global system to ensure consistency of the produced data such as:
• Temporal (seasonal phenomenon, volatility, etc.)
• Space
• Data connecting the factors and their interactions
• Data representing different time frames

• Integrate features before and after the data processing in order to adapt the solution to the specific situation of each client.

• Structure the best possible approach, the data, and the models.

• Analyze the quality of the forecasts and the simulations via Graphical User Interface (GUI) dedicated to each issue.

• Integrate the data completely and transparently in all Artelys Crystal’s range of products.

Clients benefits

• Maximizing the success of a project via a reliable and adequate decision making process. Your company will save time, money, increase the quality of its customer service (deliveries, after sales, etc.), and optimize its resources such as stocks, manufacturing, etc.
• Using a customized model for your specific needs.
• Utilizing forecasting systems that continually adapt to your changing context.
• A team of experienced professionals available to answer your questions...

Examples of projects in multiple fields

Energy field

Une gestion performante des systèmes énergétiques nécessite de prendre en compte un grand nombre de paramètres dont l’évolution est incertaine : prix des différentes énergies, demande, aléas climatiques

La plateforme Artelys Crystal Forecast permet de constituer un outil capable de produire des prévisions et des scénarios de manière globale pour l’ensemble des grandeurs clés intervenant dans la prise de décision.

Afin de garantir un haut niveau de performance, les modèles utilisés sont spécifiques à chacune des grandeurs et aux horizons traités : court, moyen et long terme. Artelys Crystal Forecast intègre notamment un module avancé de modélisation des prix des contrats à terme permettant une modélisation conjointe des différentes énergies et de leurs contrats.

Dans le but d'assurer la cohésion globale, la plateforme Artelys Crystal Forecast intègre des mécanismes de mise en cohérence afin d'assurer la cohésion globale de l'ensemble des résultats, par exemple :

• Scenarios including the climatic variables, the prices, and the demand.
• Long term hypothesis, medium-term scenarios, and short-term scenarios.
• Other factors depending on the needs expressed by the client.

All the forecasts and the simulations produced can be used in a wide range of "Crystal Artelys” products such as Artelys Risk Manager, Artelys Energy Planner, and Artelys Crystal City. Therefore, various projects with high added value can be treated. For example:

• Investment analyses
• Appreciation and analysis of assets
• Development of production plans, maintenance plans, etc.

Customer Management Field

In today's economy, maintaining customer relationships is key in the global strategy of the company. Artelys Crystal Forecast guides the customer management department with a reliable anticipation of the customers’ needs at different levels such as:

• Long term level : in order to size the production tool
• Medium term level : to ensure the availability of resources, storage space, manpower, to minimize losses, to coordinate the skills needed to start the production, etc.
• Short term level : in order to control operations, the timing of the production, the delivery, etc.

Artelys Crystal Forecast develops advanced processes to predict the demand incorporating a modeling of :

• Customer behavior
• Technical environment
• Links among actions achieved in the customer management department, etc.

Artelys Crystal Forecast considers all the phenomena developing accurate predictions of the customer’s demands. The forecasts are independent of factors that can compromise the quality of the customer’s service such as the shortcomings of the production equipment, its configuration at any given time, an out of stock supply, etc.

Artelys Crystal Forecast is an open platform allowing the user to adapt its forecasting process to meet the new changes in its customer management department. Thanks to this platform the user can ensure a quality of service before, during, and after sales.

The forecasts produced are then used to serve the strategic and marketing analyses and to implement the tools to plan for a medium and short term future.

Logistics fields

In our century, all companies need to face an international demand and higher costs of transportation and storage. Artelys Crystal Forecast optimizes the global supply chain by reducing costs and integrating marketing components. With the platform, companies achieve maximized results and their supply chain becomes the major asset in their competitiveness.

This rationalization requires a good anticipation of the customer’s demands at all levels of the supply chain and a set of references that can be segmented with more or less details according to the problem addressed.

Artelys Crystal Forecast integrates features for a modeling of the localized demand. The modeling adapts itself dynamically to the segmentation chosen. The user defines his own segmentation of its references or territory to produce forecasts.

Artelys Network Designer completes Artelys Crystal Forecast by providing a further comprehensive analysis of the supply chain with a better risk control and optimization in the decision making process.

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